NASA’s Kepler space telescope has literally transformed our understanding of planetary systems in our galaxy. Although the mission has suffered some serious setbacks this year, Kepler data continue to reveal smaller and smaller worlds circling their stars in orbits not too dissimilar to Earth’s orbit around the sun. So that raises the question: How many ‘habitable’ worlds are out there? On Nov. 4, astronomers announced their answer: 10 billion. Yes, there are likely 10 billion habitable exoplanets in the Milky Way.
Four years ago, NASA launched the Kepler space telescope to find out how many stars like the sun host Earth-sized planets suitably positioned for liquid water, a key ingredient for life.
On Monday November 4th, a team of scientists announced an answer: about 10 billion — enough for one planet for every person in the world, with 3 billion to spare.
“We didn’t know what to expect,” astronomer Geoffrey Marcy, with the University of California at Berkeley, told Discovery News.
“It was only 18 years ago that most of us, myself included, thought we might never discover any planets of any sort around other stars. It was thought to be impossible. To have gone from where we were in the 1990s with nothing, to now finding Earth-sized planets in their habitable zones really boggles my mind,” Marcy said.
Before a positioning system problem sidelined the telescope in May, Kepler focused on a patch of the sky in the constellation Cygnus and dutifully assembled a digital picture every 30 minutes to send back to Earth.
Astronomers analyzed the images to find slight changes in the amount of light coming from about 150,000 target stars.
Some variations were due to star flares and other stellar phenomena, but others provided telltale clues that an orbiting planet had passed across the face of its parent star, relative to Kepler’s point of view, blocking a smidgen of light in the process.
The timing of repeat light dips indicated the planet’s distance from its host star, information scientists could then use to estimate the planet’s surface temperature. Of particular interest are planets suitably positioned for liquid surface water, as water is believed to be necessary for life.
Finally, by measuring how much starlight was blocked during a transit, scientists could calculate a candidate planet’s diameter. Smaller planets like Earth block less light than giant Jupiter-sized worlds.